{"id":5056,"date":"2022-01-27T09:13:17","date_gmt":"2022-01-27T09:13:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ccib.ro\/afacerea\/?p=5056"},"modified":"2022-02-02T08:22:57","modified_gmt":"2022-02-02T08:22:57","slug":"previziuni-pwc-economia-globala-va-avansa-cu-45-in-2022-daca-impactul-variantei-omicron-va-fi-limitat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/revista-afacerea.ro\/afacerea\/previziuni-pwc-economia-globala-va-avansa-cu-45-in-2022-daca-impactul-variantei-omicron-va-fi-limitat\/","title":{"rendered":"Previziuni PwC: Economia global\u0103 va avansa cu 4,5%, \u00een 2022, dac\u0103 impactul variantei Omicron va fi limitat"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\"Economia global\u0103 va avansa cu 4,5%, \u00een 2022, dac\u0103 impactul variantei Omicron va fi limitat, iar m\u0103surile implementate vor asigura o protec\u021bie adecvat\u0103 \u00eempotriva \u00eemboln\u0103virilor grave, arat\u0103 raportul PwC Global Economic Watch 2022.<\/p>\n

Potyrivit unui comunicat de pres\u0103 emis de PwC, scenariul de baz\u0103 al raportului porne\u0219te de la premisa c\u0103 acest an va fi mai pu\u021bin imprevizibil dec\u00e2t anul trecut. Totu\u0219i, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 noua variant\u0103 Covid-19 continu\u0103 s\u0103 imprime mult\u0103 incertitudine, raportul ia \u00een considerare \u0219i un scenariu mai pesimist \u00een care, pe fondul unei suprasolicit\u0103ri a sistemelor de s\u0103n\u0103tate, activitatea economic\u0103 ar \u00eencetini semnificativ \u0219i chiar ar suferi o contrac\u021bie \u00een emisfera nordic\u0103, \u00een primul trimestru. \u00cen aceste condi\u021bii, estimarea este c\u0103 PIB-ul global s-ar reduce cu circa 0,5 puncte procentuale fa\u021b\u0103 de scenariul ini\u021bial.<\/p>\n

\u201dPreviziunile optimiste privind economia global\u0103 confirm\u0103 a\u0219tept\u0103rile liderilor de companii care, \u00een sondajul PwC Global CEO Survey, \u0219i-au exprimat majoritar (77%) \u00eencrederea \u00een perspectivele de cre\u0219tere pentru acest an. Totodat\u0103, 59% dintre directorii generali ai companiilor din Rom\u00e2nia cred c\u0103 \u00een 2022 economia na\u021bional\u0103 va avea o evolu\u021bie mai bun\u0103 dec\u00e2t anul trecut. Percep\u021bia liderilor de afaceri fa\u021b\u0103 de evolu\u021bia economiei este foarte important\u0103 pentru c\u0103 de ea depind investi\u021biile, extinderea, recrut\u0103rile sau cre\u0219terile salariale\u201d, a declarant, conform sursei citate, Dinu Bumb\u0103cea, Country Managing Partner PwC Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n

Potrivit raportului, \u00een scenariul de baz\u0103 \u00een care impactul Omicron va fi limitat, SUA, China \u0219i UE vor r\u0103m\u00e2ne principalele trei blocuri economice, \u00een urm\u0103torii ani, dar cu unele schimb\u0103ri. De exemplu, 2022 ar putea fi primul an \u00een care economia chinez\u0103 o va dep\u0103\u0219i pe cea a Uniunii Europene (UE), clasament care se va men\u021bine pe termen mediu.<\/p>\n

Condi\u021bii financiare mai stricte. Infla\u021bia se tempereaz\u0103<\/strong><\/p>\n

Previziunile avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 vor urma condi\u021bii financiare mai stricte, deoarece b\u0103ncile centrale din economiile avansate \u00ee\u0219i vor majora ratele de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 \u0219i \u00ee\u0219i vor reduce programele de relaxare cantitativ\u0103. SUA \u0219i Marea Britanie au demarat acest proces, dar efectele variantei Omicron l-ar putea \u00eent\u00e2rzia cu c\u00e2teva luni. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, zona euro se va men\u021bine pe linia actual\u0103 deoarece rata infla\u021biei de baz\u0103 este pu\u021bin probabil s\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 \u021binta de 2% din acest an.<\/p>\n

Presiunile generate de \u00eentreruperea lan\u021burilor de aprovizionare se vor disipa, conform previziunilor, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 se observ\u0103 o ameliorare \u00een ultimele luni ale anului trecut, care va continua \u00een 2022. Aceast\u0103 tendin\u021b\u0103 va reduce infla\u021bia, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a acestui an, oferindu-le b\u0103ncilor centrale un respiro pentru a am\u00e2na poten\u021bialele major\u0103ri ale ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103, mai ales dac\u0103 economiile se vor confrunta cu probleme suplimentare precum modific\u0103ri epidemiologice nea\u0219teptate.<\/p>\n

O alt\u0103 previziune vizeaz\u0103 inversarea rolurilor \u00eentre SUA \u0219i UE \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te politica fiscal\u0103. \u00cen SUA, pentru prima dat\u0103 de la \u00eenceputul pandemiei, Centrul de cercetare Hutchins se a\u0219teapt\u0103 ca politica fiscal\u0103 s\u0103 diminueze cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 cu aproximativ 2 puncte procentuale \u00een 2022. \u00centre timp, \u00een UE este posibil ca politica fiscal\u0103 s\u0103 adauge \u00eentre 0,5 \u0219i 1 puncte procentuale la cre\u0219terea economic\u0103. Aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie reflect\u0103 suspendarea regulilor fiscale ale UE, probabil, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2023, moment \u00een care vor fi revizuite pentru a recunoa\u0219te rolul mai activ pe care \u00eel vor avea de jucat autorit\u0103\u021bile fiscale pentru a ajunge la zero emisii de dioxid de carbon p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2050.<\/p>\n

Anul acesta va fi probabil un alt an record pentru energia regenerabil\u0103, estim\u00e2ndu-se c\u0103 peste 30% din produc\u021bia total\u0103 de energie electric\u0103 la nivel global va fi din surse regenerabile. Este de a\u0219teptat ca pre\u021burile materiilor prime s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 constante, dar situa\u021bia geopolitic\u0103 ar putea deturna aceast\u0103 previziune. Cre\u0219terea rapid\u0103 a pre\u021burilor la energie \u0219i gaze naturale se va atenua \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a anului curent dac\u0103 nu apar evolu\u021bii geopolitice majore care influen\u021beaz\u0103 decisiv pre\u021burile pe termen scurt, mai ales \u00een Europa.<\/p>\n

Angajatorii vor oferi flexibilitate<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te pia\u021ba muncii, studiul mai arat\u0103 c\u0103 \u021b\u0103rile care fac parte din G7 (Canada, Fran\u021ba, Germania, Italia, Japonia, Marea Britanie \u0219i SUA) vor crea cel pu\u021bin 9 milioane de locuri de munc\u0103. Angajatorii vor continua s\u0103 experimenteze modalit\u0103\u021bi inovatoare de a p\u0103stra personalul existent \u0219i pentru a atrage noi talente. A\u0219adar, \u00een urm\u0103toarea perioad\u0103 se va observa o pia\u021b\u0103 a muncii \u00een care angaja\u021bii vor avea o putere mai mare de negociere, dar acest lucru nu se va traduce neap\u0103rat \u00eentr-o cre\u0219tere a salariului nominal. Mai degrab\u0103 angajatorii se vor adapta la competi\u021bia ridicat\u0103 pentru atragerea oamenilor, devenind ei \u00een\u0219i\u0219i ni\u0219te \u201eangajatori flexibili\u201d. De exemplu, unii angajatori ofer\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na de lucru de patru zile, aranjamente de lucru hibride \u0219i beneficii non-financiare mai bune. (C.\u0218.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economia global\u0103 va avansa cu 4,5%, \u00een 2022, dac\u0103 impactul variantei Omicron va fi limitat, iar m\u0103surile implementate vor asigura o protec\u021bie adecvat\u0103 \u00eempotriva \u00eemboln\u0103virilor grave, arat\u0103 raportul PwC Global Economic Watch 2022. Potyrivit unui comunicat de pres\u0103 emis de PwC, scenariul de baz\u0103 al raportului porne\u0219te de la premisa c\u0103 acest an va fi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5058,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[146],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-din-lumea-afacerilor","issue-serie-noua-nr-15-27-01-2022-22-02-2022"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPreviziuni PwC: Economia global\u0103 va avansa cu 4,5%, \u00een 2022, dac\u0103 impactul variantei Omicron va fi limitat - Afacerea<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/revista-afacerea.ro\/afacerea\/previziuni-pwc-economia-globala-va-avansa-cu-45-in-2022-daca-impactul-variantei-omicron-va-fi-limitat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Previziuni PwC: Economia global\u0103 va avansa cu 4,5%, \u00een 2022, dac\u0103 impactul variantei Omicron va fi limitat - Afacerea\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Economia global\u0103 va avansa cu 4,5%, \u00een 2022, dac\u0103 impactul variantei Omicron va fi limitat, iar m\u0103surile implementate vor asigura o protec\u021bie adecvat\u0103 \u00eempotriva \u00eemboln\u0103virilor grave, arat\u0103 raportul PwC Global Economic Watch 2022. 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