{"id":2147,"date":"2020-10-27T08:42:26","date_gmt":"2020-10-27T08:42:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ccib.ro\/afacerea\/?p=2147"},"modified":"2020-11-05T16:09:29","modified_gmt":"2020-11-05T16:09:29","slug":"pandemia-pietelor-externe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/revista-afacerea.ro\/afacerea\/pandemia-pietelor-externe\/","title":{"rendered":"Pandemia pie\u021belor externe"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"image_pdf\"<\/a>\"image_print\"<\/a><\/div>

\"\"Anali\u0219tii, managerii \u0219i \u2013 deopotriv\u0103 \u2013 politicienii se \u00eentreab\u0103 dac\u0103 actuala criz\u0103 economic\u0103 generat\u0103 de COVID-19 va fi la fel de dur\u0103 sau poate mai dur\u0103 dec\u00e2t criza din 2008 \u2013 2009.<\/p>\n

Din perspectiva rela\u021biilor comerciale interna\u021bionale, r\u0103spunsul pe care risc s\u0103-l formulez pentru Rom\u00e2nia are doi piloni:<\/p>\n

a) \u0219i f\u0103r\u0103 COVID-19 pie\u021bele interna\u021bionale erau \u00een prag de contrac\u021bie \u00een multe sectoare industriale;
\nb) pandemia mondial\u0103 a declan\u0219at \u0219i amplificat pandemia rela\u021biilor de afaceri la nivel na\u021bional \u0219i planetar.<\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 la criza financiar\u0103 din 2008-2009 Rom\u00e2nia a r\u0103spuns nesperat de rapid din punct de vedere al exporturilor, acestea revenindu-\u0219i dup\u0103 numai 12 luni (noiembrie 2008 \u2013 octombrie 2009), acum orizontul revenirii pare mai \u00eendep\u0103rtat, de\u0219i pr\u0103bu\u0219irea este la fel de dramatic\u0103.<\/p>\n

La precedenta criz\u0103 am avut \u0219ansa ca o bun\u0103 parte din comenzile restr\u00e2nse\/reduse ale multina\u021bionalelor s\u0103 fie plasate cu preferin\u021b\u0103 \u00een \u021bara noastr\u0103, datorit\u0103 avantajelor competitive ale costului for\u021bei de munc\u0103 \u0219i a unor investi\u021bii de ultim\u0103 genera\u021bie de care a beneficiat Rom\u00e2nia prin capitalul str\u0103in.<\/p>\n

Acum criza nu mai este cu predilec\u021bie financiar\u0103, ci de pia\u021b\u0103. Consumul s-a redus puternic, cu excep\u021bia bunurilor esen\u021biale: alimentele \u0219i medicamentele, ca \u0219i unele componente IT \u0219i electronice, pentru care cererea a fost stimulat\u0103 de munca de la distan\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n

Pandemiei pie\u021belor externe nu i s-a g\u0103sit \u00eenc\u0103 vaccinul potrivit, la fel ca \u0219i \u00een sistemul medical (nici \u00een Romania, nici pe plan mondial). Restric\u021biile de c\u0103l\u0103torie (de afaceri), anularea majorit\u0103\u021bii t\u00e2rgurilor \u0219i expozi\u021biilor interna\u021bionale (unde se \u00eent\u00e2lneau cererea \u0219i oferta), imprevizibilitatea intensit\u0103\u021bii consumului casnic \u0219i industrial (s-au schimbat priorit\u0103\u021bile \u00een gestionarea bugetelor \u0219i \u00een fluxurile de aprovizionare \u0219i desfacere) sunt tot at\u00e2\u021bia factori care nu pot face posibil\u0103 stabilirea momentului c\u00e2nd comer\u021bul exterior rom\u00e2nesc \u0219i cel mondial vor reveni \u00eentr-un palier previzibil \u0219i pozitiv.<\/p>\n

Pr\u0103bu\u0219irea afacerilor firmelor de export-import din \u021bara noastr\u0103 putea fi \u0219i mai dur\u0103 dac\u0103 ancora stabilit\u0103\u021bii relative<\/em> a cursului de schimb nu ar fi fost asigurat\u0103 de BNR. Aceast\u0103 stabilitate \u2013 care dureaz\u0103 de aproape dou\u0103 decenii \u2013 a fost mult mai valoroas\u0103 pentru majoritatea sectoarelor economice dec\u00e2t sprijinul financiar oferit din bugetul na\u021bional \u0219i din cel al UE, sprijin care \u2013 trebuie spus \u2013 nu a fost de neglijat, de\u0219i nu \u00eentotdeauna at\u00e2t de operativ pe c\u00e2t \u0219i l-ar fi dorit \u0219i a\u0219teptat mediul de afaceri.<\/p>\n

Asocia\u021bia noastr\u0103 a fost cuplat\u0103 \u00een toat\u0103 perioada pandemiei \u00een \u201c<\/em>celula de criz\u0103\u201d<\/em> de la Palatul Cotroceni \u0219i de la Palatul Victoria, \u00eencerc\u00e2nd s\u0103 pun\u0103 pe masa deciden\u021bilor solu\u021bii aplicate de celelalte \u021b\u0103ri europene, prin adaptarea lor la specificul na\u021bional, ca \u0219i m\u0103suri operative pentru deblocarea multiplelor situa\u021bii din practica curent\u0103.<\/p>\n

Pandemia ne-a \u201cstricat\u201d totu\u0219i s\u0103rb\u0103toarea celor dou\u0103 evenimente ale anului: Un sfert de veac de la \u00eenfiin\u021barea Asocia\u0163iei Na\u0163ionale a Exportatorilor \u015fi Importatorilor din Rom\u00e2nia (ANEIR)<\/em> \u0219i 17 ani de func\u021bionare a Consiliului de Export al Rom\u00e2niei<\/em>, ambele \u00een coordonarea subsemnatului pe toat\u0103 perioada de implicare a lor \u00een slujba comer\u021bului exterior rom\u00e2nesc.<\/p>\n

Nu a fost un an u\u0219or nici pentru Camera bucure\u0219tean\u0103, nevoit\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 pandemiei generale \u0219i problemelor interne, generate de unii factori externi nu dezinteresa\u021bi.<\/p>\n

Parteneriatul ANEIR \u2013 CCIB \u2013 Consiliul de Export al Rom\u00e2niei a func\u021bionat benefic \u00een toat\u0103 aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103, \u00eencerc\u00e2nd fiecare \u00een parte \u0219i \u2013 deopotriv\u0103 \u2013 \u00eempreun\u0103 s\u0103 slujeasc\u0103 intereselor mediului de afaceri autohton.<\/p>\n

Va trece \u2013 nu u\u0219or \u0219i nu at\u00e2t de repede \u2013 \u0219i aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103 tulbure, f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 ne pierdem speran\u021ba c\u0103 uni\u021bi vom birui: \u0219i pandemia medical\u0103 \u0219i cea economic\u0103.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

dr. Mihai IONESCU,
\nPre\u0219edintele executiv al ANEIR
\nCo-Pre\u015fedintele Consiliului de Export al Rom\u00e2niei
\naneir@aneir.ro<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Anali\u0219tii, managerii \u0219i \u2013 deopotriv\u0103 \u2013 politicienii se \u00eentreab\u0103 dac\u0103 actuala criz\u0103 economic\u0103 generat\u0103 de COVID 19 va fi la fel de dur\u0103 sau poate mai dur\u0103 dec\u00e2t criza din 2008 \u2013 2009. Din perspectiva rela\u021biilor comerciale interna\u021bionale, r\u0103spunsul pe care\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2504,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eveniment","category-highlight","issue-serie-noua-nr-3-04-11-2020-01-12-2020"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPandemia pie\u021belor externe - Afacerea<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/revista-afacerea.ro\/afacerea\/pandemia-pietelor-externe\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pandemia pie\u021belor externe - Afacerea\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Anali\u0219tii, managerii \u0219i \u2013 deopotriv\u0103 \u2013 politicienii se \u00eentreab\u0103 dac\u0103 actuala criz\u0103 economic\u0103 generat\u0103 de COVID 19 va fi la fel de dur\u0103 sau poate mai dur\u0103 dec\u00e2t criza din 2008 \u2013 2009. 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